City and Villa dominate, Sunderland stun Arsenal

The final round before the international break delivered several standout performances.
Manchester City demolished Liverpool 3–0, Aston Villa crushed Bournemouth 4–0 at home, and Arsenal dropped points in Sunderland (2–2).
Chelsea and Everton both kept clean sheets, while Nottingham beat Leeds 3–1.

Top Performers – Gameweek 11

Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) – 29.1 pts
74 minutes vs Liverpool, 1 goal, won a penalty, 7 successful dribbles. Despite 16 turnovers, he completely tore apart the Reds’ defense.

Dan Ballard (Sunderland) – 22.5 pts
Goal and assist against Arsenal, 6 duels won, 1 block – a complete box-to-box performance from ex-Arsenal player.

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) – 22.1 pts
1 goal, 2 big chances created, 8 duels won, 8 ball recoveries. Brilliant game, but Arsenal lost the lead.

Thiago (Brentford) – 21.6 pts
Another productive outing – his 8th goal of the season. One of the top “value” picks in FanYield.

Emi Martínez (Aston Villa) – 19.4 pts
Clean sheet vs Bournemouth, saved a penalty, excellent in distribution, several highlight saves.

Emi Buendía (Aston Villa) – 18.9 pts
After a poor start to the season, Emiliano is back – 1 assist, 3 key passes, relentless pressing in the final third.

Wilson Odobert (Tottenham) – 17.9 pts
Played just one half but completely changed the game. Two created chances and an assist for Richarlison’s decisive goal.

Omari Hutchinson (Nottingham Forest) – 16.6 pts
Only 16 minutes from the bench – won a penalty and added an assist. Perfect impact sub.

Top Offensive Outlook – GW12

According to FanYield models, these teams have the highest attacking potential for Gameweek 12:

• Liverpool (2.39 projected goals) vs Nottingham (H)
• Arsenal (2.28 pG) vs Tottenham (H)
• Bournemouth (2.03 pG) vs West Ham (H)
• Chelsea (1.96 pG) vs Burnley (A)
• Manchester United (1.94 pG) vs Everton (H)

Most Likely Goalscorers
Haaland (0.62), Salah (0.52), Isak (0.45), Mateta (0.44), Semenyo (0.43).
From cheaper options: Evanilson (0.42) and Thiago (0.37).

Top Projected Playmakers
Saka (0.38), Bruno Fernandes (0.34), Salah (0.33), Wirtz (0.32), Mbeumo (0.28).
The Saka–Rice duo has an excellent matchup at home vs Spurs.

Top Goalkeepers & Clean Sheet Odds (GW12)

Highest clean sheet probabilities:

• Arsenal – 49% (vs Tottenham H)
• Chelsea – 41% (vs Burnley A)
• Liverpool – 39% (vs Nottingham H)
• Fulham – 38% (vs Sunderland H)
• Bournemouth – 37% (vs West Ham H)

Goalkeepers with High Upside Even Without a CS
Teams facing the most shots on target: Chelsea (60), Man City (54), Man United (53), Arsenal (49), Bournemouth (47).
Bournemouth generate the lowest non-penalty xG per shot (0.09) — making Areola (West Ham) a potential upside pick.

Recommendations:

• Raya (Arsenal) – strong clean sheet odds plus potential save bonus.
• Sánchez (Chelsea) – Burnley’s finishing woes make him solid value (41% CS).
• Martínez (Aston Villa) – thrives in high-tempo matches.
• Roefs (Sunderland) – second-best defense by npxG/shot, allowing 4.27 shots per 90. Fantasy heaven.

Top 5 Players of the Season (after GW11)

1. Erling Haaland (Man City) – 137.1 pts, 14 goals, avg 12.5 pts per match
2. Bruno Fernandes (Man United) – 132.4 pts, United’s key man despite low scoring numbers
3. Jack Grealish (Everton) – 129.9 pts, consistent form in Everton’s revived attack
4. Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea) – 129.7 pts, 3 goals from deep midfield
5. Iliman Ndiaye (Everton) – 126.3 pts, 4 goals, strong pre-break form

Top Stacks – Gameweek 12

1. Arsenal Stack – Saka × Rice × Gabriel

• 2nd highest xG (2.28)
• Saka leads both goal (0.38) and assist (0.38) projections
• Rice provides set-piece assists
• Gabriel is the top set-piece threat — possible assist + goal combo

2. Liverpool Stack – Salah × Szoboszlai × Gakpo

• Highest xG (2.39) vs Nottingham
• Salah remains the league’s top dual-threat (0.52 goal, 0.33 assist)
• Szoboszlai provides creativity and set pieces
• Gakpo is Liverpool’s most in-form shooter

3. Chelsea Stack – Pedro × Caicedo × Enzo

• 4th highest team xG (1.96)
• Caicedo in strong form (129.7 pts, 3 goals) provides a steady 10-point floor
• Burnley have conceded the most penalties (3) – great for Enzo & Joao Pedro

4. Bournemouth Stack – Semenyo × Tavernier × Petrović

• 3rd highest xG (2.03) vs West Ham
• Semenyo: 0.43 goal + 0.27 assist chance
• Tavernier supports with 0.26 assist probability and set pieces
• Petrović: 37% CS odds + saves bonus (Bournemouth face ~130 total shots)

Conclusion

The international break comes as the Premier League enters its second quarter.
 City and Villa have reaffirmed their dominance.
 Once action resumes, fans can look forward to a fiery North London Derby and Liverpool vs Nottingham – the two fixtures where FanYield models expect the highest goal output.