Knowledge Base

Best fantasy Picks - GW13

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12th round of Premier League brought some significant changes in the standings. Arsenal beat Spurs 4:1 and confirmed its ascending attacking form. Nott Forrest shocked Liverpool and Palace kept the clean sheet against struggling Wolves

Top Performances of Gameweek 12

Eberechi Eze (Crystal Palace) – 40.2 points
Alphonse Areola (West Ham) – 27.1 points
Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa) – 26.4 points
Murillo (Nottingham) – 21.8 points
Samuel Chukwueze (Fulham) – 20.6 points
Marcos Senesi (Bournemouth) – 20.4 points
Yankuba Minteh (Brighton) – 20.3 points

Best Offensive Outlook for GW13

Top 5 teams by projected xG

  • Man City – 2.51 xG (vs Leeds, H)
  • Liverpool – 2.01 xG (vs West Ham, A)
  • Brentford – 1.98 xG (vs Burnley, H)
  • Aston Villa – 1.88 xG (vs Wolves, H)
  • Crystal Palace – 1.51 xG (vs Man Utd, H)

City have the clearest matchup of the gameweek thanks to Leeds’ defensive issues. Brentford benefit from a strong home fixture against Burnley.

Top goalscorer chances (GW13)

  • Haaland – 0.96
  • Thiago – 0.57
  • Mateta – 0.45
  • Mohamed Salah – 0.45
  • Watkins – 0.42

Haaland holds the highest individual projection of the gameweek. Mateta, Watkins and Rogers also carry strong scoring potential.

Top assist chances (GW13)

  • Damsgaard – 0.34
  • Foden – 0.33
  • M. Salah – 0.28
  • Doku – 0.27
  • Rogers / Gakpo / Dango – 0.26

Goalkeepers & Clean Sheets

Top 5 teams by clean sheet odds

  • Man City – 47% vs Leeds
  • Brentford – 44% vs Burnley
  • Aston Villa – 42% vs Wolves
  • Arsenal – 30% vs Chelsea
  • Bournemouth / Spurs – 30%

City and Brentford lead the ranking, but both teams allow very few shots, which limits save-point potential.

Save floor – best goalkeepers by shots on target allowed

  • Burnley – 5.50 SoT/90
  • West Ham – 5.33
  • Nottingham Forest – 4.75
  • Wolves – 4.67

Best CS + save floor combinations

  • Pickford – Newcastle generate moderate npxG/shot, offering 4–6 potential save points. He also averages 2.3 passes into the final third per 90.
  • Roefs – high shot volume conceded + low shot quality → stable defensive floor.
  • Areola – Liverpool struggle with finishing but generate a high number of attempts.

Players of the Season (FanYield Fantasy)

Top 5 players by total fantasy points

  • Erling Haaland – 137.1
  • Bruno Fernandes – 132.4
  • Jack Grealish – 129.9
  • Moises Caicedo – 129.7
  • Iliman Ndiaye – 128.3

Momentum Stacks for GW13

1. Man City – Haaland, Foden, Doku

Highest xG of the gameweek (2.51); Haaland close to a 1.0 goalscoring probability; Leeds are collapsing defensively.

2. Brentford – Thiago, Damsgaard, Schade

Burnley allow the most SoT/90 in the league – perfect conditions for goals and assists.

3. Aston Villa – Watkins, Rogers, Digne

Strong home form, excellent creative and shot metrics; Wolves allow many shots inside the box.

4. Crystal Palace – Pino, Mateta, Sarr

Palace host Manchester United, one of the worst defensive sides in SoT allowed. Casemiro may struggle against Yeremy Pino’s pace.

5. Brighton – Welbeck, Minteh

Consistent creativity against Nottingham Forest, who concede 4.75 SoT/90 away from home.


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