Team Projections – GW9
Probability of scoring 2+ goals
1 | Arsenal | 46% | vs CRY (H)
2 | Chelsea | 44% | vs SUN (H)
3 | Newcastle | 40% | vs FUL (H)
4 | Wolves | 40% | vs BUR (H)
5 | Bournemouth | 36% | vs NFO (H)
6 | Leeds United | 33% | vs WHU (H)
7 | Liverpool | 29% | @ BRE
8 | Man City | 29% | @ AVL
Top Forwards by Goal Probability
E. Haaland | Man City | 0.64
João Pedro | Chelsea | 0.53
Gyökeres | Arsenal | 0.51
M. Salah | Liverpool | 0.48
Calvert-Lewin | Leeds | 0.44
Isak | Arsenal | 0.42
Semenyo | Bournemouth | 0.36
Recommended Picks – GW9
Erling Haaland (Man City)
Still the top pick – 11 goals, 111 fantasy points, and a consistent threat even away from home. Despite City playing at Villa (29%), Haaland’s individual projection (0.64 G) keeps him in every lineup.
João Pedro (Chelsea)
Chelsea finally have a favorable matchup (Sunderland H), and João Pedro is trending up – 0.53 goal probability and an expanding role in the final third. A solid budget alternative to premium forwards.
Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)
Arsenal’s new signing is delivering – both his shooting form and team projection (46%) make him a must-pick this week.
Recommended stack: Gyökeres + Saka + Timber.
Value Picks
- Antoine Semenyo (Bournemouth) – 6 goals, 110 points, and a home fixture vs Forest (36%). Excellent price/performance ratio (f 8.4).
- Jurrien Timber (Arsenal) – 85.7 points, 2 goals from defense, among the most efficient defenders in the league.
- Moises Caicedo (Chelsea) – 3 goals, 98 points, and a box-to-box role make him a hidden gem for GW9.
- Marcos Senesi (Bournemouth) – cheap defensive stack partner for Semenyo (f 3.9).
Outside Bets
- Thiago (Brentford) – 5 goals in 8 matches; despite facing Liverpool (12%), his individual form deserves attention.
- Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool) – consistently involved in attacks, 2 goals and 78 fantasy points from midfield.
- Yankuba Minteh (Brighton) – low ownership, high ceiling – 81 points and 1 goal, a good differential option.
Summary – Best Stacks GW9
StackRationaleArsenal (Gyökeres + Saka + Timber) | Highest team projection, home advantage.
Chelsea (João Pedro + Caicedo + James) | Improving form, second-best attack projection.
Liverpool (Salah + Gravenberch) | Historically strong away, even with lower projection.
Final Summary
- Top team: Arsenal
- Value pick: Semenyo (fanbux 8.4)
- Risk pick: Thiago (Brentford)
- Stack of the week: Arsenal trio
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