1) Liverpool – M. Salah + C. Gakpo (vs Everton, H)

• Avg FPT per match: Salah 9.4 | Gakpo 15.0
• Avg minutes per match: Salah 90 | Gakpo 90
• Matchup strength (Projected Goals Scored, GW5): 2.20 – the best offensive projection this week.
  Why it works: Salah has penalties and a high share of final actions, even though he operates a lot from the wing this season. Gakpo racks up points from dribbles, key passes, and carries strong xG. He can also draw penalties for Salah, which significantly raises the upside.

2) Chelsea – João Pedro + M. Caicedo (vs Man Utd, A)

• Avg FPT per match: João Pedro 15.2 | Caicedo 14.6
• Avg minutes per match: João Pedro 83.0 | Caicedo 90.0
• Matchup strength (Projected G For, GW5): 1.65 – solid.
  Why it works: João Pedro provides finishing and on-ball events, while Caicedo collects a ton of defensive actions (tackles, interceptions) and is also in good scoring form. This is an offense + all-round combination from the same club – a strong floor stack. If you want higher upside, Palmer can be swapped in for Caicedo.

3) Arsenal – J. Timber + R. Calafiori (vs Man City, H)

• Avg FPT per match: Timber 13.7 | Calafiori 10.8
• Avg minutes per match: Timber 65.8 | Calafiori 56.5
• Matchup strength (Projected G For, GW5): 1.75 – above average even against a tough opponent.
  Why it works: A pair of defenders who not only defend but also score goals. Man City often create chances from wide areas, which will give Arsenal’s full-backs plenty of defensive events. Both Timber and Calafiori are threats from set pieces and can deliver assists. This stack is a major differential, mainly due to potential minute limitations.

4) Brighton – Y. Minteh + K. Mitoma (vs Spurs, H)

• Avg FPT per match: Minteh 11.5 | Mitoma 7.5
• Avg minutes per match: Minteh 84.5 | Mitoma 88.3
• Matchup strength (Projected G For, GW5): 1.70 – strong.
  Why it works: Both wingers are event machines – dribbles, fouls drawn, box entries, and high xA. In an open game, this combo often piles up points even without goals. Spurs’ full-backs haven’t been truly tested this season, which makes this stack attractive.

5) AFC Bournemouth – A. Semenyo + M. Tavernier (vs Newcastle, H)

• Avg FPT per match: Semenyo 14.3 | Tavernier 6.3
• Avg minutes per match: Semenyo 90.0 | Tavernier 83.8
• Matchup strength (Projected G For, GW5): 1.45 – mid-tier.
  Why it works: Semenyo drives production (mix of goals, assists, and on-ball events), while Tavernier can support him with chance creation or drawing a penalty. A stack for managers looking to differentiate outside the “big six.” For higher goal upside, Evanilson can replace Tavernier.

How we selected

• Form: Taken from your dataset – Fantasy Points and Matches → calculated into Avg FanYield Fantasy Points per Match.
• Minutes: Official Premier League stats.
• Matchup strength: GW5 Goal Projections from Solio Analytics (powered by Spreadex odds): e.g. Liverpool 2.20 vs EVE; Arsenal 1.75 vs MCI; Brighton 1.70 vs TOT; Chelsea 1.65 vs MUN; Bournemouth ~1.45 vs NEW.
  (Note: these projections can shift during the week.)