FPL GW31: Nailed Players, Minutes Risk and Doubtful Starts
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A comparison of projected xMins between GW30 and GW31, splitting players by certainty of starts and highlighting the biggest minute changes.
Categories by Security of Starts
This piece presents projected minutes for GW31 and sorts players by how secure their starts look. Players are grouped using the defined thresholds and compared directly with GW30. Tables show xMins GW31, xMins GW30 and the change versus GW30.
Nailed Players
Players here have high projected minutes for GW31 and should represent the most stable options.
| Player | Team | Position | Price | xMins GW31 | xMins GW30 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leno | Fulham | G | 4.9 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Pope | Newcastle | G | 5.1 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Vicario | Spurs | G | 4.7 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Kelleher | Brentford | G | 4.7 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Sánchez | Chelsea | G | 4.9 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Martinez | Aston Villa | G | 5.1 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| A.Becker | Liverpool | G | 5.4 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Lammens | Man Utd | G | 5.0 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Roefs | Sunderland | G | 4.9 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
| Petrović | Bournemouth | G | 4.5 | 89.1 | 89.1 | +0.0 |
Minutes Risk
These players carry a higher rotation risk or reduced minutes, sitting in the mid-range xMins band.
| Player | Team | Position | Price | xMins GW31 | xMins GW30 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.Le Fée | Sunderland | M | 5.0 | 79.8 | 79.8 | +0.0 |
| Onana | Aston Villa | M | 4.8 | 79.8 | 79.8 | +0.0 |
| Yarmoliuk | Brentford | M | 5.0 | 79.8 | 79.8 | +0.0 |
| Wirtz | Liverpool | M | 8.3 | 79.2 | 79.2 | +0.0 |
| Sessegnon | Fulham | M | 5.4 | 79.2 | 79.2 | +0.0 |
| Tavernier | Bournemouth | M | 5.3 | 79.1 | 79.1 | +0.0 |
| Schade | Brentford | M | 6.9 | 78.8 | 78.8 | +0.0 |
| Damsgaard | Brentford | M | 5.6 | 78.8 | 78.8 | +0.0 |
| Tonali | Newcastle | M | 5.3 | 78.5 | 78.5 | +0.0 |
| Tete | Fulham | D | 4.5 | 78.3 | 78.3 | +0.0 |
Doubtful Starts
Players with very low projected minutes for GW31, their starts are not secure according to the projections.
| Player | Team | Position | Price | xMins GW31 | xMins GW30 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veltman | Brighton | D | 4.3 | 39.9 | 39.9 | +0.0 |
| Mayenda | Sunderland | F | 5.2 | 39.3 | 39.3 | +0.0 |
| Angulo | Sunderland | M | 5.0 | 39.2 | 39.2 | +0.0 |
| C.Jones | Liverpool | M | 5.4 | 38.6 | 38.6 | +0.0 |
| Brobbey | Sunderland | F | 5.4 | 38.4 | 38.4 | +0.0 |
| Willock | Newcastle | M | 5.0 | 37.2 | 37.2 | +0.0 |
| Okafor | Leeds United | M | 5.5 | 36.9 | 36.9 | +0.0 |
| Estêvão | Chelsea | M | 6.4 | 36.2 | 36.2 | +0.0 |
| Dominguez | Nott'm Forest | M | 5.0 | 36.2 | 36.2 | +0.0 |
| Geertruida | Sunderland | D | 4.5 | 36.2 | 71.4 | -35.2 |
What Changed Compared with GW30
The largest projected increases include Van de Ven at xMins GW31 86.7 from xMins GW30 0.0, change +86.7, and Sancho at 67.2 from 0.0, change +67.2; note both have a GW30 value of 0.0 so the magnitude should be treated cautiously. Other notable risers: Reinildo moves to xMins GW31 81.6 from 39.2, +42.5, and Armstrong increases to 77.9 from 55.7, +22.2. On the downside several goalkeepers drop from near-constant minutes to 0.0 in GW31, for example Raya and Donnarumma with changes of -89.1, and Muñoz also shows a large fall (-87.4). The stable core remains populated by nailed goalkeepers such as Leno and Pope at xMins GW31 89.1 with no change versus GW30.
Summary: The safest minute-based fantasy options for GW31 are the players in the Nailed category, especially the goalkeepers projected at 89.1 minutes. Biggest risk sits with players whose projections fall to 0.0 or who register large drops in xMins. Main takeaway: use these xMins GW31 vs xMins GW30 differences to prioritise secure minutes ahead of GW31.
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